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IAEA Regional Technical Cooperation Project RER/0/019: Sustainable Energy Development Options for Eastern European Countries

The main goal of this study was to analyse the development of the Croatian power system, as a component of the overall energy system, by utilising the MESSAGE model. The time frame taken into consideration in this study is from 2001 to 2020. In this twenty-year period, there are several possibilities for the development of the power and energy system. There are several options for natural gas supply, each having different associated investments and implementation time schedules. Kyoto obligations also strongly influence the development of the power system.

The Croatian Power System includes the Nuclear Power Plant Krško - NPPK which is situated in Slovenia. The study considered two main options: with and without power delivery from NPPK. These options strongly influence the operation and expansion of the power system. Influence of the NPPK on the development of the power sector was analysed under certain assumptions. The first case does not impose any limits in terms of CO2 emission or fuel availability. In the second case, gas supply for power sector is limited. The third case adds another limit - CO2 quotas on emissions. The fourth case limits CO2 emission, but gas supply for electricity generation is unlimited.

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